Let Code Test the Logic.
Quantitative research is not an automatic profit machine. It makes research hypotheses face data.
Robustness before elegance.
Backtest ≠Future Performance.
Historical effectiveness does not guarantee future effectiveness.
Validation Never Stops.
Market structure, participants, liquidity and execution environments change. Models can fail and must be reviewed.
Testing the Model.
Why does a strong backtest not guarantee future performance?
A backtest describes how a model behaved on historical data under specific assumptions. Future market structure, liquidity, costs and participant behavior may be different.
What is out-of-sample validation?
It tests a model on data that was not used to build or tune it, helping evaluate whether the logic generalizes beyond the development sample.
Why run stress tests?
Stress tests examine how assumptions and model behavior respond to adverse or unusual conditions rather than evaluating only normal periods.
What does NG mean in the quantitative cycle?
NG means review, rebuild, revalidate and iterate when a hypothesis, parameter set or model no longer behaves as expected.